Methodological Projects
Text-based AI Systems
Nicolas Audinet de Pieuchon, Adel Daoud, Connor T. Jerzak, Moa Johansson, Richard Johansson. Benchmarking Debiasing Methods for LLM-based Parameter Estimates. Proceedings of the 2025 Conference on Empirical Methods in Natural Language Processing (EMNLP), 2025.
[Overview][Data][>]
@article{nicolas audinet de pieuchon 2025benchmarking,
title={Benchmarking Debiasing Methods for LLM-based Parameter Estimates},
author={Nicolas Audinet de Pieuchon and Adel Daoud and Connor T. Jerzak and Moa Johansson and Richard Johansson},
journal={Proceedings of the 2025 Conference on Empirical Methods in Natural Language Processing (EMNLP)},
year={2025},
volume={},
pages={},
publisher={},
doi={}
}–
Samuel Balter, Ethan Jerzak, Connor T. Jerzak. Multiplication in Multimodal LLMs: Computation with Text, Image, and Audio Inputs. Findings of the Association for Computational Linguistics (ACL), 2026.
[Overview][Data][>]
@article{balter2026multiplication,
title={Multiplication in Multimodal LLMs: Computation with Text, Image, and Audio Inputs},
author={Balter, Samuel and Ethan Jerzak and Connor T. Jerzak},
journal={Findings of the Association for Computational Linguistics (ACL)},
year={2026},
pages={},
publisher={}
}–
Nicolas Audinet de Pieuchon, Adel Daoud, Connor T. Jerzak, Moa Johansson, Richard Johansson. Can Large Language Models (or Humans) Disentangle Text?. Proceedings of the Sixth Workshop on Natural Language Processing and Computational Social Science (NLP+ CSS 2024): 57-67, 2024.
@article{pieuchon2024can,
title={Can Large Language Models (or Humans) Disentangle Text?},
author={Pieuchon, Nicolas Audinet de and Adel Daoud and Connor T. Jerzak and Moa Johansson and Richard Johansson},
journal={Proceedings of the Sixth Workshop on Natural Language Processing and Computational Social Science (NLP+ CSS 2024)},
year={2024},
pages={57--67},
publisher={}
}–
Adel Daoud, Connor T. Jerzak, Richard Johansson. Conceptualizing Treatment Leakage in Text-based Causal Inference. Proceedings of the Annual Conference of the North American Chapter of the Association for Computational Linguistics (NAACL): 5638-5645, 2022.
@article{daoud2022conceptualizing,
title={Conceptualizing Treatment Leakage in Text-based Causal Inference},
author={Daoud, Adel and Connor T. Jerzak and Richard Johansson},
journal={Proceedings of the Annual Conference of the North American Chapter of the Association for Computational Linguistics (NAACL)},
year={2022},
volume={},
pages={5638--5645},
publisher={Association for Computational Linguistics},
doi={10.18653/v1/2022.naacl-main.413}
}–
Omatharv Vaidya, Connor T. Jerzak, Nhat Ho, Chandrajit Bajaj. Queryable LoRA: Instruction-Regularized Routing Over Shared Low-Rank Update Atoms. ArXiv Preprint, 2026.
[Overview]
@article{vaidya2026queryable,
title={Queryable LoRA: Instruction-Regularized Routing Over Shared Low-Rank Update Atoms},
author={Vaidya, Omatharv and Connor T. Jerzak and Nhat Ho and Chandrajit Bajaj},
journal={ArXiv Preprint},
year={2026},
pages={},
publisher={}
}–
Brian Libgober, Connor T. Jerzak. Linking Datasets on Organizations Using Half a Billion Open-Collaborated Records. Political Science Methods and Research: 1-20, 2024.
@article{libgober2024linking,
title={Linking Datasets on Organizations Using Half a Billion Open-Collaborated Records},
author={Libgober, Brian and Connor T. Jerzak},
journal={Political Science Methods and Research},
year={2024},
pages={1-20},
publisher={}
}–
Connor T. Jerzak, Gary King, Anton Strezhnev. An Improved Method of Automated Nonparametric Content Analysis for Social Science. Political Analysis, 31(1): 42-58, 2023.
@article{jerzak2023improved,
title={An Improved Method of Automated Nonparametric Content Analysis for Social Science},
author={Jerzak, Connor T. and Gary King and Anton Strezhnev},
journal={Political Analysis},
year={2023},
volume={31},
number={1},
pages={42-58},
publisher={}
}–
Planetary Causal Inference
Adel Daoud, Cindy Conlin, Connor T. Jerzak. Chinese vs. World Bank Development Projects: Insights from Earth Observation and Computer Vision on Wealth Gains in Africa, 2002-2013. World Development, 202: 107328, 2026.
@article{daoud2026chinese,
title={Chinese vs. World Bank Development Projects: Insights from Earth Observation and Computer Vision on Wealth Gains in Africa, 2002-2013},
author={Daoud, Adel and Cindy Conlin and Connor T. Jerzak},
journal={World Development},
year={2026},
volume={202},
pages={107328},
publisher={}
}–
Warren Zhu Fucheng, Connor T. Jerzak, Adel Daoud. Optimizing Multi-Scale Representations to Detect Effect Heterogeneity Using Earth Observation and Computer Vision: Application to Two Anti-Poverty RCTs. Proceedings of the Fourth Conference on Causal Learning and Reasoning (CLeaR), Proceedings of Machine Learning Research (PMLR), 2025.
@article{fucheng2025optimizing,
title={Optimizing Multi-Scale Representations to Detect Effect Heterogeneity Using Earth Observation and Computer Vision: Application to Two Anti-Poverty RCTs},
author={Fucheng, Warren Zhu and Connor T. Jerzak and Adel Daoud},
journal={Proceedings of the Fourth Conference on Causal Learning and Reasoning (CLeaR), Proceedings of Machine Learning Research (PMLR)},
year={2025},
volume={},
pages={},
publisher={}
}–
Kazuki Sakamoto, Connor T. Jerzak, Adel Daoud. A Scoping Review of Earth Observation and Machine Learning for Causal Inference: Implications for the Geography of Poverty. To appear in: Hall, Ola and Ibrahim Wahab (eds.), Geography of Poverty, 2025.
@article{sakamoto2025scoping,
title={A Scoping Review of Earth Observation and Machine Learning for Causal Inference: Implications for the Geography of Poverty},
author={Sakamoto, Kazuki and Connor T. Jerzak and Adel Daoud},
journal={To appear in: Hall, Ola and Ibrahim Wahab (eds.), Geography of Poverty},
year={2025},
volume={},
pages={},
publisher={Edward Elgar Publishing (Cheltenham, UK)}
}–
Connor T. Jerzak, Fredrik Johansson, Adel Daoud. Image-based Treatment Effect Heterogeneity. Proceedings of the Second Conference on Causal Learning and Reasoning (CLeaR), Proceedings of Machine Learning Research (PMLR), 213: 531-552, 2023.
@article{jerzak2023image,
title={Image-based Treatment Effect Heterogeneity},
author={Jerzak, Connor T. and Fredrik Johansson and Adel Daoud},
journal={Proceedings of the Second Conference on Causal Learning and Reasoning (CLeaR), Proceedings of Machine Learning Research (PMLR)},
year={2023},
volume={213},
pages={531-552},
publisher={}
}[Overview][Data][Code][Reviews][>]
–
Connor T. Jerzak, Ritwik Vashistha, Adel Daoud. Effect Heterogeneity with Earth Observation in Randomized Controlled Trials: Exploring the Role of Data, Model, and Evaluation Metric Choice. ArXiv Preprint, 2024.
[Overview]
@article{jerzak2024effect,
title={Effect Heterogeneity with Earth Observation in Randomized Controlled Trials: Exploring the Role of Data, Model, and Evaluation Metric Choice},
author={Jerzak, Connor T. and Ritwik Vashistha and Adel Daoud},
journal={ArXiv Preprint},
year={2024},
volume={},
pages={},
publisher={}
}–
Markus B. Pettersson, Connor T. Jerzak, Adel Daoud. Debiasing Machine Learning Predictions for Causal Inference Without Additional Ground Truth Data: 'One Map, Many Trials' in Satellite-Driven Poverty Analysis. Proceedings of the AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence (AAAI-2026), 40: 39106-39115, 2026.
[Overview][Code][>]
@article{pettersson2026debiasing,
title={Debiasing Machine Learning Predictions for Causal Inference Without Additional Ground Truth Data: 'One Map, Many Trials' in Satellite-Driven Poverty Analysis},
author={Pettersson, Markus B. and Connor T. Jerzak and Adel Daoud},
journal={Proceedings of the AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence (AAAI-2026)},
year={2026},
volume={40},
pages={39106-39115},
publisher={}
}–
Connor T. Jerzak, Fredrik Johansson, Adel Daoud. Integrating Earth Observation Data into Causal Inference: Challenges and Opportunities. ArXiv Preprint, 2023.
@article{jerzak2023integrating,
title={Integrating Earth Observation Data into Causal Inference: Challenges and Opportunities},
author={Jerzak, Connor T. and Fredrik Johansson and Adel Daoud},
journal={ArXiv Preprint},
year={2023},
volume={},
pages={},
publisher={}
}–
Satiyabooshan Murugaboopathy, Connor T. Jerzak, Adel Daoud. Platonic Representations for Poverty Mapping: Unified Vision-Language Codes or Agent-Induced Novelty?. Proceedings of the 7th International Conference on Social Computing (ICSC 2026), of Communications in Computer and Information Science, 2026.
[Overview][Data][Slides]@article{murugaboopathy2026platonic,
title={Platonic Representations for Poverty Mapping: Unified Vision-Language Codes or Agent-Induced Novelty?},
author={Murugaboopathy, Satiyabooshan and Connor T. Jerzak and Adel Daoud},
journal={Proceedings of the 7th International Conference on Social Computing (ICSC 2026), of Communications in Computer and Information Science},
year={2026},
volume={},
pages={},
publisher={Springer Nature}
}[Video]
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Causal Inference
Connor T. Jerzak, Priyanshi Chandra, Rishi Hazra. MiniMax Learning of Interpretable Factored Stochastic Policies from Conjoint Data, with Uncertainty Quantification. International Conference on Machine Learning (ICML), 2026.
[Overview]
@article{connor t. jerzak 2026minimax,
title={MiniMax Learning of Interpretable Factored Stochastic Policies from Conjoint Data, with Uncertainty Quantification},
author={Connor T. Jerzak and Priyanshi Chandra and Rishi Hazra},
journal={International Conference on Machine Learning (ICML)},
year={2026},
volume={},
pages={},
publisher={}
}–
Connor T. Jerzak, Rebecca Goldstein, Aniket Kamat, Fucheng Warren Zhu. FastRerandomize: Fast Rerandomization Using Accelerated Computing. SoftwareX, 33: 102508, 2026.
[Overview][Code][>]@article{jerzak2026fastrerandomize,
title={FastRerandomize: Fast Rerandomization Using Accelerated Computing},
author={Jerzak, Connor T. and Rebecca Goldstein and Aniket Kamat and Fucheng Warren Zhu},
journal={SoftwareX},
year={2026},
volume={33},
pages={102508},
publisher={}
}[Website]
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Connor T. Jerzak, Stephen Jessee. Correcting Bias When Using Latent Regressors. Political Analysis, 2026.
[Overview][Code]
@article{connor t. jerzak 2026correcting,
title={Correcting Bias When Using Latent Regressors},
author={Connor T. Jerzak and Stephen Jessee},
journal={Political Analysis},
year={2026},
pages={},
publisher={}
}–
Computational Infrastructure
Connor T. Jerzak, Adel Daoud. CausalImages: An R Package for Causal Inference with Earth Observation, Bio-medical, and Social Science Images. ArXiv Preprint, 2023.
@article{jerzak2023causalimages,
title={CausalImages: An R Package for Causal Inference with Earth Observation, Bio-medical, and Social Science Images},
author={Jerzak, Connor T. and Adel Daoud},
journal={ArXiv Preprint},
year={2023},
volume={},
pages={},
publisher={}
}–
Substantive Projects
Comparative Politics
John Gerring, Alan Hicken, Connor T. Jerzak, Robert Moser, Erzen Öncel. Electoral Rules and Descriptive Representation: A Comprehensive View Across Multiple Identities. Under contract with Cambridge University Press, 2026.
@article{gerring2026electoral,
title={Electoral Rules and Descriptive Representation: A Comprehensive View Across Multiple Identities},
author={Gerring, John and Alan Hicken and Connor T. Jerzak and Robert Moser and Erzen Öncel},
journal={Under contract with Cambridge University Press},
year={2026},
volume={},
number={},
pages={}
}–
John Gerring, Connor T. Jerzak, Erzen Öncel. The Composition of Descriptive Representation. American Political Science Review, 118(2): 784-801, 2024.
@article{gerring2024composition,
title={The Composition of Descriptive Representation},
author={Gerring, John and Connor T. Jerzak and Erzen Öncel},
journal={American Political Science Review},
year={2024},
volume={118},
number={2},
pages={784-801}
}–
Connor T. Jerzak. The Politics of Conscription in Northern Ireland, 1938-1946. Preprint, 2026.
@article{jerzak2026politics,
title={The Politics of Conscription in Northern Ireland, 1938-1946},
author={Jerzak, Connor T. },
journal={Preprint},
year={2026},
volume={},
number={},
pages={}
}–
Connor T. Jerzak. The EU's Democratic Deficit and Repeated Referendums in Ireland. International Journal of Politics, Culture, and Society, 27(3): 367-388, 2014.
@article{jerzak2014eu's,
title={The EU's Democratic Deficit and Repeated Referendums in Ireland},
author={Jerzak, Connor T.},
journal={International Journal of Politics, Culture, and Society},
year={2014},
volume={27},
number={3},
pages={367-388}
}–
Political Economy
Connor T. Jerzak, Brian Libgober. The Impact of a Transportation Intervention on Electoral Politics: Evidence from E-ZPass. Research in Transportation Economics, 80: 1-14, 2020.
@article{jerzak2020impact,
title={The Impact of a Transportation Intervention on Electoral Politics: Evidence from E-ZPass},
author={Jerzak, Connor T. and Brian Libgober},
journal={Research in Transportation Economics},
year={2020},
volume={80},
pages={1-14},
publisher={}
}[Overview][Data][Boston Globe Write-up][>]
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Social Movements
Connor T. Jerzak. Football fandom in Egypt. Routledge Handbook of Sport in the Middle East, pages 196-207, Oxfordshire, UK, 2022. Routledge. Danyel Reiche and Paul Brannagan (eds.)
@inproceedings{jerzak2022football,
title={Football fandom in Egypt},
author={Jerzak, Connor T.},
booktitle={Routledge Handbook of Sport in the Middle East},
year={2022},
volume={},
pages={196-207},
publisher={Routledge},
address={Oxfordshire, UK}
}–
Connor T. Jerzak. Ultras in Egypt: State, Revolution, and the Power of Public Space. Interface, 5(2): 240-262, 2013.
@article{jerzak2013ultras,
title={Ultras in Egypt: State, Revolution, and the Power of Public Space},
author={Jerzak, Connor T.},
journal={Interface},
year={2013},
volume={5},
number={2},
pages={240-262}
}–
Research Visuals
Methodological Substantive Visualizations Video Library
BibJerzak’s work spans causal inference, machine learning, and large-scale measurement from text and satellite imagery. It is applied to real problems like mapping poverty, descriptive representation, infrastructure analysis, auditing quantitative research, and evaluating development and climate interventions at scale. For more, see below. See also video overviews of some of our work; for complete citation details on 20+ published works, see Bibliography.
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See also [PDFs].